Wednesday 27 January 2016

What To Do When An NFL Expert Picks Against The Spread

By Jason Gibson


Football seasons is a great time of year for watching an exciting sport and reconnecting with old friends. For many people, this is also a time of judicious gambling. If this sounds familiar, you probably want to know what you should do when an NFL expert picks against the spread.

You should start by looking around for information that will give you a better understanding of what's happening. Try to learn if there are any motives by scouting for clues on why this choice was made. Don't make the mistake of simply assuming that insider information was the primary motivator for this choice. You will usually discover that there is adequate info within in reach.

Take a look at sports blogs to see whether or not any of the involved players have looming injuries. If a key player has been nursing a sore shoulder or knee, this could weaken his overall team and the playing strategy. Sometimes pending injuries are not as widely reported as injuries that have already occurred, which means that you may have to do a little digging around.

Surprisingly enough, even activities and events that players have going on in their personal lives can impact their games. Find out if any players are facing legal charges or separating from their spouses. The winning team will usually be comprised of players that have few outside distractions.

Read up on the stats for similar match-ups in the past and see which factors, if any, have changed. For instance, your preferred team may be playing a special championship game away from home for the first time in decades. The weather could be a bit nastier than usual. Small changes like these can have a decided impact on player performance.

Establish a list of reliable sources that you can turn to when facing concerns like this one. It is important to see what other people are saying and why. This, however, is only true if you an absolutely trust the idea and opinions that your sources pass on.

It is vital to remember that gambling is a lot like stock investing and this is especially true when it comes to analyzing and valuating your sources. Some blog writers and sports broadcasters will simply go with the crowd, even if they do not believe in the information or opinions that are being reported. This is commonly referred to as following the herd. The best info sources are bold, courageous and willing to stand on their own, even if this means breaking away from the proverbial pack.

It is additionally essential to note that even experts get things wrong at times. This is a concept that you will quickly see as being true after a bit of time and experience. There are people who are capable of regularly making accurate predictions, but even these individuals are going to make mistakes. Your job is to leverage all of the info that you can possible collect to make your own, informed predictions and betting decisions about the game.




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